What Is Technical
Analysis?
Technical analysis is the study of past
market movements as displayed on price charts to
predict future movements of share prices. When defined like
that it does sound like a lot of nonsense but in actual fact
technical analysis can be extremely accurate at predicting
future price moves and many traders and investors,
including myself, swear by it.
Technical analysis is used extensively amongst forex
traders but it can be equally as profitable when used to
predict the movements of stocks. Of course if you're a long
term investor then you should also use fundamental analysis to
select quality companies with low levels of debt and growing
profits, but when you've done this you can then apply technical
analysis to determine profitable entry and exit points.
So what are the basics of technical analysis?
Well first of all if you have access to stock charts, you
will also usually be presented with a number of studies that
you can apply to this chart. These technical indicators, of
which there are many, can be used to identify current trends,
indicate oversold and overbought positions, and show any
breakouts that are taking place.
They work because they basically display human behaviour via
a chart. They show the same sorts of trading patterns which
occur over and over again because other traders see these same
patterns and trade them accordingly. You could say that to a
large extent technical analysis is a self-fulfilling prophecy
because if enough people apply technical analysis to a
particular company's price chart then the predicted move
as indicated by the charts will eventually come true if enough
investors make trading decisions based on the same
technical data.
The most popular technical indicators are moving averages,
MACD, RSI and Stochastics, but there are a number of other
indicators you can use. It's best to try out different
combinations of indicators to find ones that perfectly
compliment your trading system. No technical indicators are
perfect, whether they are used in isolation or combined with
others, but the key is to use them to find trades where the
odds of the trade generating a profit is significantly in your
favour.
So to sum up, technical analysis is a great way of entering
and exiting trades whether you are a short-term or long-term
investor. It works on all time frames but is more effective
when used on the longer time frames. The right combination of
technical indicators can enable you to find high probability
trades which can produce big profits if you cut your losses
early and let your winning trades run.
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